The 721% Tariff: How Washington Is Fencing Chinese Anode Graphite

In 2025 the U.S. Department of Commerce set preliminary countervailing

duties of up to 721 percent on Chinese active anode material — the

graphite-based battery component used in virtually every lithium-ion

cell. The anti-dumping duties on top of that reached 93.5 percent. The

trade action is one of the most aggressive U.S. critical-minerals

measures on record, and it is reshaping the global graphite market.¹

The Anti-Dumping Timeline

In December 2024, a group of North American graphite producers submitted

a petition to the U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC) and the U.S.

International Trade Commission (ITC) asking for a review of Chinese

trade practices in graphite active anode material (AAM). The petition

alleged that AAM from China was being sold in the United States at

prices below fair market value and was benefiting from Chinese

government subsidies.¹

The ITC determined that AAM from China was likely being sold at less

than fair market value. In 2025 the DOC released preliminary results:

anti-dumping duties of 93.50 percent and countervailing duties ranging

from 11.58 percent to 721.03 percent depending on the specific Chinese

exporter.¹ Combined, the duties effectively doubled or more the landed

cost of Chinese AAM for U.S. customers.

Preliminary duties are typically reviewed and finalised through

subsequent DOC and ITC determinations, and the exact final levels may

change. But the direction of travel is unambiguous: U.S. trade policy

has determined that Chinese AAM pricing is economically unfair and that

domestic and allied suppliers should be protected from that pricing.

Why 721 Percent?

The enormous range in countervailing-duty calculations — from 11.58

percent at the low end to 721.03 percent at the high end — reflects the

DOC's methodology for assessing subsidy benefits. When a Chinese

producer's records are incomplete or uncooperative with the DOC's

request for data, the DOC applies "adverse facts available" —

effectively, the highest reasonable subsidy estimate. That produces the

721 percent figure for exporters whose documentation was deemed

inadequate.

The methodology is well-established in U.S. trade law, but the scale of

the 2025 AAM decision is unusual. Chinese exporters who cooperated fully

with the DOC face meaningful but manageable duties; those who did not

face duties that make continued U.S. sales economically impossible. For

many producers, the decision about how to engage with the DOC

investigation was therefore a commercial life-or-death calculation.

Indian antidumping actions during the same year took a similar approach

against Chinese AAM, and Korean authorities have been investigating

similar patterns. The U.S. action is the most visible but is not

isolated — it fits a broader pattern of national trade authorities

determining that Chinese graphite pricing warrants protective responses.

The Import Shift

The practical import response in 2025 was more gradual than the duty

levels might suggest. U.S. imports of graphite AAM — both natural and

synthetic — totalled approximately 43,400 tonnes in the first eight

months of 2025, compared with 28,100 tonnes in the same period of 2024.

That is a 54 percent year-on-year increase despite the duties.¹

Why did imports rise if duties were so high? The leading source data

provides the answer: China remained 55 percent of the inflow despite

duties, Indonesia at 31 percent and South Korea at 14 percent.¹ Some

Chinese exporters received lower individual duty rates and continued to

serve the U.S. market. Others routed material through third-country

processing that qualified for different treatment. And Korean and

Indonesian suppliers — including facilities operated by Chinese-invested

firms — grew their U.S.-facing business.

The resulting market structure is more complex than a simple bilateral

story. U.S. AAM customers pay higher prices than they would have absent

the duties, but they have not lost supply — they have simply

restructured their sourcing to diversify across multiple countries of

origin.

Chinese Strategic Response: Geographic Displacement

Chinese producers have responded to the tariffs by accelerating overseas

capacity. A Chinese company's new spherical purified graphite (SPG)

facility in Central Java, Indonesia, began production during 2025.

Chinese firms are also developing or considering SPG operations in

Finland, Malaysia, Morocco, Oman and Sweden.¹

The geographic distribution tells a specific story. Each of the new

locations provides either proximity to European or North American

markets, or tariff treatment that differs from Chinese-origin

production. Morocco has access to European markets through free-trade

agreements; Malaysia and Indonesia are inside Asian supply chains that

Western customers treat differently from direct Chinese imports.

Chinese natural-graphite exports in the first nine months of 2025 rose 6

percent year-on-year, while SPG exports rose 29 percent. The leading

recipients of SPG from China were the Republic of Korea (40 percent),

Indonesia (33 percent), Japan (16 percent) and the United States (11

percent).¹ The flows suggest that Chinese producers are routing

materials through Asian processors for subsequent delivery to U.S. and

European customers — a geographic displacement of the supply chain that

sidesteps the direct-import duty.

What It Means for Brazil

For Brazilian graphite producers the 2025 U.S. action is broadly

favourable. The duty structure raises the cost of the dominant incumbent

product, and producers from jurisdictions not subject to the

anti-dumping action — including Brazilian operators Boa Sorte, Santa

Cruz and other new entrants — face a more accessible U.S. market than

they did 18 months ago.

Brazilian producers are currently focused on flake graphite concentrate

rather than finished AAM, but the strategic pathway is clear: Brazilian

flake concentrate processed into SPG at non-Chinese

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